This course promotes the development of numeracy, quantitative literacy and critical thinking skills. Informed citizens need these skills to participate in discussions of significant issues in culture and society. This course focuses on the use of quantitative information as evidence to inform decision making, including risk and uncertainty.
Participants will be required to apply their skills to identify a scenario within their own professional or disciplinary context, in which a decision must be made based on uncertain information. Participants will need to consider the kinds of evidence available in these contexts, how this evidence informs such decisions and the potential for cognitive bias in making these decisions.
The following content will be covered during this course:
Module 1: Understanding stakeholders
- Describe the kinds of decisions that would benefit from a quantitative data analysis
- Identify the stakeholders involved in an issue and describe their positions with respect to the issue
- Identify and explain potential biases in framings of a situation or in stakeholders’ framing of a situation.
Module 2: Types of evidence
- Create a risk matrix and translate this into probabilities
- Calculate an expected utility of a risk situation
- Analyse the utility function graphs for risk averse, risk neutral and risk seeking individuals and where stakeholders may be located on this function
- Apply bayesian judgement based on prior information of a situation.
Module 3: Using data and evidence to support a decision
- Construct a decision tree and calculate the rollback to assist decision making
- Incorporate the impact of time on the value of potential outcomes
- Communicate recommendations to decision makers based on evidence.
Course delivery
This microcredential is delivered online. Participants will complete self-paced learning, supported by formative assessment tasks to develop their skills and knowledge. Participants will have the opportunity to present to a facilitator, their business context of choice prior to developing the case study for their final project.
Each week, key fundamentals are taught with self-contained examples, before being applied to a broader case study which is extended throughout the course. The participants will then need to complete the component of the assessment that will apply to their own case studies, so that by the end of session, the assignment should require only a small collation, prior to submission.